And the polls are in
Alright, another political post.
I am listening to NPR (big surprise there) and they are talking about the polls and the statistics of the election. Not only is this politically interesting to me, but it is also mathematically interesting to me; statistics was my favorite mathematical subject.
Anyways, Bush's ratings are up, but there is more to it than that. No incumbent has ever won reelection having the ratings that Bush had in May (under 50%). AND a lot of the swing states are for Kerry 8 points ahead of Bush. PLUS, independents are for Kerry 6 points ahead of Bush. And 54% of everyone polled said the country was going in the wrong direction, as opposed to 40% that said it was going in the right direction.
With all of these unusual stats, I have a feeling that this will be another election that no one will truly be able to call until it is over. In the meantime, no matter whether it ends up with Bush or Kerry, I am still lusting after our neighbors to the north as a new place of residence.
BTW: The prime minster elections for Canada are next week, I wonder if Paul Martin will be reelected or not. The Canadians get a choice between 4 diverse and intelligent candidates...I am so jealous.
later all
I am listening to NPR (big surprise there) and they are talking about the polls and the statistics of the election. Not only is this politically interesting to me, but it is also mathematically interesting to me; statistics was my favorite mathematical subject.
Anyways, Bush's ratings are up, but there is more to it than that. No incumbent has ever won reelection having the ratings that Bush had in May (under 50%). AND a lot of the swing states are for Kerry 8 points ahead of Bush. PLUS, independents are for Kerry 6 points ahead of Bush. And 54% of everyone polled said the country was going in the wrong direction, as opposed to 40% that said it was going in the right direction.
With all of these unusual stats, I have a feeling that this will be another election that no one will truly be able to call until it is over. In the meantime, no matter whether it ends up with Bush or Kerry, I am still lusting after our neighbors to the north as a new place of residence.
BTW: The prime minster elections for Canada are next week, I wonder if Paul Martin will be reelected or not. The Canadians get a choice between 4 diverse and intelligent candidates...I am so jealous.
later all
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